Blog Posts

• [Prediction] We are in an Algorithmic Overhang, Part 2
• Would we have invented GPUs just to run ANNs?
• Write Surprisingly About Reality
• Is nuking women and children cheaper than firebombing them?
• Bayeswatch 13: Spaceship
• The Extrapolation Problem
• Bayeswatch 12: The Singularity War
• Bayeswatch 11: Parabellum
• Character-Driven Conflict in "Firefly"
• Noragami
• Cheap food causes cooperative ethics
• 2021 Darwin Game - Everywhere Else
• 2021 Darwin Game - River
• 2021 Darwin Game - Human Garbage Dump
• 2021 Darwin Game - Benthic
• 2021 Darwin Game - Ocean
• 2021 Darwin Game - Desert
• 2021 Darwin Game - Tundra
• 2021 Darwin Game - Contestants
• Interview with Skynet
• [Prediction] We are in an Algorithmic Overhang
• Bayeswatch 10: Spyware
• [Book Review] "Houdini on Magic" by Harry Houdini
• [Book Review] "The Vital Question" by Nick Lane
• The Trolley Problem
• Where's my magic sword?
• This War of Mine
• The 2021 Less Wrong Darwin Game
• [Book Review] Altered Traits
• [Summary] "Introduction to Electrodynamics" by David Griffiths - Part 1
• [Book Review] "The Alignment Problem" by Brian Christian
• Updating Science Fiction Tropes
• Simulated Elon Musk Lives in a Simulation
• I wanted to interview Eliezer Yudkowsky but he's busy so I simulated him instead
• GPT-Augmented Blogging
• Bayeswatch 9: Zombies
• Bayeswatch 8: Antimatter
• Pleasure and Pain are Long-Tailed
• Bayeswatch 7: Wildfire
• Three Principles to Writing Original Nonfiction
• Kids Learn by Copying
• [Review] Edge of Tomorrow (2014)
• [Sponsored] Job Hunting in the Modern Economy
• World War Zero
• We Live in an Era of Unprecedented World Peace
• Humanity is Winning the Fight Against Infectious Disease
• Training My Friend to Cook
• Death by a Single Cut
• Altruism Under Extreme Uncertainty
• Autoregressive Propaganda
• Technical Predictions Related to AI Safety
• Purple Lipstick
• Sunzi's《Methods of War》- Potential
• Seattle Robot Cult
• Minimizing Effort
• Sympathetic, Capable, Proactive
• [Letter] You Cannot Buy Self-Reliance
• Re: Competent Elites
• Propose Things
• The Commitment Form
• The Dark Night of the Soul
• How to Contact Me
• Bikepacking to Anacortes
• MeetUp is like Facebook
• [Letter] Imperialism in the Rationalist Community
• Four Components of Audacity
• Happiness Ruins My Writing
• Bayeswatch 6: Mechwarrior
• [Book Review] Blueprint for Revolution
• Seattle Robot Cult
• [Prediction] What war between the USA and China would look like in 2050
• Entropy-Based Calibration will Solve the Overfitting Problem
• Ratchet Programming
• Historical Validation Misses Black Swans
• The Entropy of a Dataset Obeys the Triangle Inequality
• Bayeswatch 5: Hivemind
• Re: Fierce Nerds
• Bayeswatch 4: Mousetrap
• How to compute the probability you are flipping a trick coin
• Deliberately Vague Language is Bullshit
• Zvi's Law of No Evidence
• Hypothesis Space Entropy
• The Nuclear Energy Alignment Problem
• [Writing Exercise] A Guide
• Why quantitative finance is so hard
• Bayeswatch 3: A Study in Scarlet
• Martingales
• Bayeswatch 2: Puppy Muffins
• Bayeswatch 1: Jewish Space Laser
• [Letter] Advice for High School #2
• [Letter] Advice for High School #1
• Anger
• Place-Based Programming - Part 2 - Functions
• Hell is wasted on the evil
• Training the YouTube Algorithm
• Place-Based Programming - Part 1 - Places
• I Trained a Neural Network to Play Helltaker
• Vim
• Predictive Coding has been Unified with Backpropagation
• [Book Review] Destiny Disrupted
• [Book Review] Ancillary Justice
• Conversation Exchange Statistics
• Clubhouse
• Blue is Arbitrary
• How I come up with ideas
• [Prediction] The Consequences of Radical Reform
• Contrarian Writing Advice
• The Flexibility of Abstract Concepts
• Economic Class
• We should not raise awareness
• Media Bias
• Science Fiction
• The Kelly Criterion in 3D
• Race and Nationality
• Chinese History
• The Median is Less than the Average
• This is my 100ᵗʰ post on Less Wrong
• The Economics of Media
• Sunzi's《Methods of War》- The Army's Form
• Help your rivals when they are numerous
• Reflections on "Psycho-Pass"
• [Book Review] The Chrysanthemum and the Sword
• Praying to God
• Conviction ⚖️ Skepticism
• How do you measure conformity?
• Wuwei
• The Future of Biological Warfare
• Deconditioning Aversion to Dislike
• Overconfidence
• Logic Like a Lawyer
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 13
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 12
• The 4-Hour Social Life
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 11
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 10
• Sunzi's《Methods of War》- Planning Attacks
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 9
• Decentralization
• Haters
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 8
• Hermione Granger and Newcomb's Paradox
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 7
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 6
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 5
• The Darwin Game - Conclusion
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 4
• 12 Rules for Life
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 3
• My Fear Heuristic
• The Mutant Game - Rounds 91 to 247
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 2
• Thomas Anderson
• The Mutant Game - Rounds 31 to 90
• Matryoshka Faraday Box
• Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets - Part 1
• Success Buys Freedom
• Pain is the unit of Effort
• Evading Mind Control
• Transparent Technologies
• Manifesto of the Silent Minority
• The Mutant Game - Rounds 11 to 30
• Survey of Deviant Ideas
• The Darwin Game - Rounds 21-500
• Sunzi's《Methods of War》- War
• Sunzi's《Methods of War》- Introduction
• The Darwin Game - Rounds 10 to 20
• The Darwin Game - Rounds 3 to 9
• The Darwin Game - Rounds 1 to 2
• The Born Rule is Time-Symmetric
• Aim to explain, not persuade
• The Darwin Game - Round 1
• On the Dangers of Time Travel
• The Darwin Game - Rounds 0 to 10
• Quantum Gravity
• Developing Business Mindset
• Alpha α and Beta β
• The Darwin Game
• How to Price a Futures Contract
• Business Mindset
• Communicate Authentically
• Emptiness and Form
• Negativity
• Speak in the Positive
• Mysticism
• Feeds and Archives
• News Makes You Stupid
• [Letter] Willpower and Akrasia
• A Hierarchy of Abstraction
• Intuitive Noether Current
• 7 Months Without Junk Media
• List of Unusual Beliefs
• ████████ ██████ ███████████
• Intuitive Lagrangian Mechanics
• The Illusion of Ethical Progress
• Life at Three Tails of the Bell Curve
• Life at Three Tails of the Bell Curve
• News ⊂ Advertising
• Deriving General Relativity
• [Personal Experiment] One Year without Junk Media: Six-Month Update
• Intuitive Lagrangian Mechanics
• Status-Regulating Emotions
• lsusr's Shortform
• Orthogonality
• Small Data
• Re: Some Heroes
• Plans for COVID-19?
• I do not like math
• I Do Not Like Math
• Forbidden Technology
• The Inefficient Market Hypothesis
• The History of Color in Chinese
• The History of Color in Chinese
• What Surprised Me About Entrepreneurship
• 3 Interview-like Algorithm Questions for Programmers
• Importing masks from China
• What I'm doing to fight Coronavirus
• 4 Kinds of Learning
• How do you do hyperparameter searches in ML?
• [Personal Experiment] Training YouTube's Algorithm
• [Book Review] The Trouble with Physics
• Defining "Antimeme"
• How to Talk About Antimemes
• The Arrows of Time
• [Personal Experiment] One Year without Junk Media
• Confabulation
• Symbiotic Wars
• Antimemes
• [Personal Experiment] Counterbalancing Risk-Aversion
• Indescribable
• Self-Keeping Secrets
• The Technique Taboo
• Prospecting for Conceptual Holes
• Mediums Overpower Messages
• Invisible Choices, Made by Default
• Mediums Overpower Messages
• Invisible Choices, Made by Default
• Integrating the Lindy Effect
• Integrating the Lindy Effect
• Zeno walks into a bar
• Zeno Walks Into a Bar